U.S. RevPAR Volatility Index & Probability of Recession

While the probability of a recession has grown from 11.1% in May 2019 (forecasted in May 2018) to 29.6% in May 2020 as illustrated in the lower graph, our U.S. RevPAR Volatility Index remains in the first or lower quartile. Over the past thirty years or so, the index...

Value-based Pricing for the US Lodging Industry

We recently completed a value-based pricing assignment for a client that owns several luxury hotels in the US. The hotels are located in highly competitive markets which were classified as such by the use of the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index. Each of the hotels were...